Here is my
suggestion for the Sacramento Kings saga… the NBA should expand to 32 teams and
here is my supporting rationale. (My
apologies ahead of time if these ideas are recycled.)
The Kings
stay in Sacramento, and 2 expansion teams are created. The first is awarded to the Seattle group and
they regain the Sonics brand. The second
is awarded to another market to be determined.
For the sake of this post, I’ll say St. Louis (21st largest
television market in the U.S.).
The 32 teams
would be divided into 16 team conferences, East and West as it is today. Within each conference there would be 4
divisions consisting of 4 teams each. By having more and smaller divisions you can
adjust scheduling and playoff seeding to create more intense rivalries among
division members which should improve attendance and ratings.
Scheduling works
nicely with this set up and an 82 game season.
Intra-Division Scheduling: Each team
would be required to play the other teams within its division 6 times, 3 at
home and 3 away. 2 of these games would
be a back-to-back, home-away where the team would play at home against a
division rival and then the next night would be played on the road against the
same rival. Later in the season both
teams would play another back-to-back series, but the home-away games would be
reversed. The other 2 games between the
two teams would be played within the regular scheduling confines. Intra-Division Games = 18 games per season.
Intra-Conference Scheduling: Each team
would be required to play the other teams within its conference (excluding
intra-division teams) 4 times, with 2 games on the road and 2 games at
home. There are no other stipulations
for these games. Intra-Conference Games
= 48 games per season.
Opposing-Conference Scheduling: Each team would be required to play the teams
within the opposing conference 1 time per season. Half of the games would be played at home and
the other half would be played on the road.
To create equity within the division, all teams within the same division
would play at home against the same opposing conference teams and all would
play on the road against the same opposing conference teams. As an example, the Pacific and Northwest
Divisions would play at home against the Atlantic and Southeast Divisions, and
would play on the road against the Midwest and Great Lakes Divisions. The River and Southwest Divisions would play
at home against the Midwest and Great Lakes Divisions, and would play on the
road against the Atlantic and Southeast Divisions. Opposing-Conference Scheduling = 16 games per
season.
Scheduling Totals
Intra-Division
Games 18
Intra-Conference
Games 48
Opposing-Conference
Games 16
Total 82
This set-up
could also allow for a change in playoff seeding which would further establish
team rivalries and garner fan interest and ratings.
Playoff Qualification: To qualify for the NBA Playoffs the team
would have to have either the best or second-best overall record within its
division. If 2 or more teams have the
same record, tie-breakers would be granted using the following criteria in
order of significance:
·
Intra-Division record
·
Intra-Conference record
·
Point Differential
Playoff Seeding – First Round: The First Round of the postseason would have
the top 2 teams within each division playing a 7 game series against one
another. The format would be 2-2-1-1-1,
and the home advantage would be awarded to the team with the best overall
record. If the teams have the same
record the following criteria would be used to determine home advantage in
order of significance:
·
Record between both team matchups during the
season
·
Intra-Division record
·
Intra-Conference record
·
Point Differential
The winner
of the First Round would qualify for the Second Round, and the losers’ seasons
would be over.
Playoff Seeding – Second Round: The
Second Round of the postseason would have the First-Round winners seeded by
overall record. The team with the best
record would be the 1 seed, and the team with the lowest record would be the 4
seed. The format would be 2-2-1-1-1, and
home advantage would be awarded to the higher of the 2 seeds. If 2 or more teams have the same overall
record the following criteria would be used to determine seeding in order of
significance:
·
Intra-Conference record
·
Intra-Division record
·
Record against other conference playoff teams
·
Point Differential
The winners
of the Second Round series would qualify for the Conference Finals, and the
losers’ seasons would be over.
Playoff Seeding – Conference Finals: The
Conference Finals would be played between the winners of each conference’s
second round series. The team with the
higher seeding would be awarded home-court advantage. The format would be 2-2-1-1-1. The winner of the series would qualify for
the NBA Finals, and the loser’s season would be over.
Playoff
Seeding – NBA Finals: The NBA Finals would be played between the winners of
each Conference Finals series. The
format of the series would be 2-3-2. The
team with the best overall record would be awarded home-court advantage during
the series. If both teams have the same
overall record the following criteria would be used to determine seeding in
order of significance”
·
Regular season regular against playoff teams of
both conferences
·
Record against all opposing-conference teams
·
Intra-conference record
·
Intra-division record
·
Point Differential
The winner
of the NBA Finals would be the NBA Champions for the season.
The change
in playoff seeding would also require a change in the NBA Lottery and NBA Draft
order process.
NBA Lottery: The NBA Lottery would be
used to determine the teams who would be awarded the first 3 draft picks in the
NBA Draft. The only teams to qualify for
the NBA Lottery would be those teams with the worst record in their respective
divisions; only 8 teams would vie for the Lottery. Lottery odds would be determined using the
following criteria in order:
·
The combined overall record of all teams within
the team’s division. The team which
plays in the division with the best combined record would be awarded the most
lottery balls, and the team which plays in the second-best division would be
awarded the second most lottery balls.
·
If 2 or more divisions have the same combined
overall record, then the overall record of the individual lottery teams would
be considered. The team with the lower
overall record would be awarded more lottery balls than the team with a better
overall record.
·
If 2 or more teams have the same record, and
both teams play in divisions with the same combined overall record, then the
team with lower intra-division record would be awarded more lottery balls than
the team with the better intra-division record.
By awarding
lottery odds based upon the combined overall record within the division, the
NBA would increase the talent of the worst team within the toughest division,
giving the team greater chances at competing for the playoff seeding within the
division in the future. It also sends
the message that tanking at the end of the season will not increase your odds
of winning the lottery.
NBA Draft Order: The NBA Draft order
would be determined after the NBA Lottery winners have been selected. NBA Lottery winners would be awarded
selections 1, 2, and 3. The rest of the
Lottery-qualifying teams would then draft in order using the criteria which was
used to determine lottery odds. These
teams would draft selections 4 through 8.
Selections 9 through 16 would be assigned to the remaining non-playoff
teams. Selection order would be
determined using the same criteria used to determine Lottery odds. Selections 17 through 24 would be assigned to
playoff teams which lost in the first round of the playoffs. Selection order would be determined by
overall record, with the team with the lowest record awarded the 17th
selection and so on. The following
criteria would be used to determine draft order for playoff teams if 2 had the
same overall record:
·
Intra-Division record
·
Intra-Conference record
·
Point Differential
Selections
25 through 28 would be assigned to playoff teams which lost in the second round
of the playoffs. Selection order would
follow the criteria used for Selections 17 through 24. Selections 29 and 30 would be assigned to the
playoff teams which lost in the Conference Finals. Selection order would follow the criteria used
for Selections 17 through 24. Selection 31 would be assigned to the team which
lost in the NBA Finals, and Selection 32 would be assigned to the team which
won the NBA Finals.
Here is how
I would divide up the divisions which 2012-2013 records in paranthesis:
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Atlantic
Boston
(41-40)
Brooklyn (49-33)
New York (54-28)
Washington (29-53)
Southeast
Atlanta
(44-38)
Charlotte
(21-61)
Miami
(66-16)
Orlando (20 –
62)
Midwest
Chicago (45-37)
Indiana (49-32)
Milwaukee (38-44)
Minnesota (31-51)
Great Lakes
Cleveland (24-58)
Detroit (29-53)
Philadelphia
(34-48)
Toronto (34-48)
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Pacific
Golden State
(47-35)
Los Angeles
Clippers (56-26)
Los Angeles
Lakers (45-37)
Sacramento
Kings (28-54)
Northwest
Denver (57-25)
Portland (33-49)
*Seattle (N/A)
Utah (43-39)
River (Note: I dislike this name, but I’m
not a marketer)
Memphis (56-26)
New Orleans (27-55)
OKC (60-22)
*St Louis (N/A)
Southwest
Dallas (41-41)
Houston (45-37)
Phoenix (25-57)
San Antonio (58-24)
The following is a rough guestimate of how the 2012-2013
Playoffs and Lottery would be determined.
Records are determined by looking at the actual results from the
2012-2013 season and extrapolating the data to determine individual game
results. This is completely unscientific
and objective. If you don’t like my
results, feel free to come up with your own using the structure outlined in the
article. Expansion team records were
baseless guesses using historic data of expansion team records. Once again, this is meritless data, to
provide a representation of Playoff
structures and Draft Orders using the suggested division alignment outlined
above.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Atlantic
Brooklyn
(55-27) *2 Seed
New York
(51-31) *4 Seed
Boston
(43-39)
Washington
(29-53)
Southeast
Miami
(62-20) *1 Seed
Atlanta (46-36)
*6 Seed
Charlotte
(26-56)
Orlando
(25-57)
Midwest
Indiana
(54-28) *3 Seed
Chicago
(47-35) *5 Seed
Milwaukee
(41-41)
Minnesota
(33-49)
Great Lakes
Toronto
(36-46) *7 Seed
Philadelphia
(35-47) *8 Seed
Detroit
(32-50)
Cleveland
(30-52)
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Pacific
LAC (53-29) *5
Seed
Golden State
(44-38) *7 Seed
LAL (43-39)
Sacramento
(29-53)
Northwest
Denver
(55-27) *4 Seed
Utah (37-45)
*8 Seed
Portland
(33-49)
Seattle
(21-61)
River
OKC (62-20)
*2 Seed
Memphis
(57-25) *3 Seed
New Orleans
(30-52)
St Louis
(24-58)
Southwest
San Antonio
(64-18) *1 Seed
Houston
(44-38) *6 Seed
Dallas
(37-45)
Phoenix
(34-48)
The winners
in the process are Toronto, Philadelphia, and Utah who make the playoffs with
losing records. The losers are Boston,
Milwaukee, and LAL, who disagree with this format because they had better
records than the previously mentioned teams.
This becomes less of an issue when you consider Boston is the only team
which competed in the playoffs among the losers.
Here is how
the Lottery odds would play out with the pseudo-season records and alignment in
my example.
Overall
Division Records:
Southwest
(179-149, 54.6%)
Atlantic
(178-150, 54.3%)
Midwest
(175-153, 53.4%)
River
(173-155, 52.7%)
Pacific
(169-159, 51.5%)
Southeast
(159-169, 48.5%)
Northwest
(146-182, 44.5%)
Great Lakes
(133-195, 40.5%)
Using this
info the following teams would be considered for the Lottery in ascending order
based upon greatest odds of winning the lottery.
1.
Phoenix
2.
Washington
3.
Minnesota
4.
St Louis
5.
Sacramento
6.
Orlando
7.
Seattle
8.
Cleveland
Here is the
rest of the draft order for the non-playoff teams.
9.
Dallas
10.
Boston
11.
Milwaukee
12.
New Orleans
13.
LAL
14.
Charlotte
15.
Portland
16.
Detroit
It is worth
noting that those teams with winning records, yet missed the playoffs will
likely end up with higher draft seeding. This is to increase the talent on the
those teams and help them compete in their relatively more talent-filled
divisions.
This system
isn’t perfect, but I think it would create some excitement for the fans and
eliminate some of the complaints people have with tanking teams, and a
pre-determined first round of playoffs. If anything, it provides a breath of
fresh air for the NBA.